Token Burn

Burn is not proof. Output is not victory. Accepted work that repeats is leverage.

today · in flight

378K active

12 sessions · spend 707K · Claude Code 378K
by project: <home> 378K
top session 87040a53 (<home>, 36K, —)

2026-09-14
as of 2026-09-14T12:55:13Z

Stupid button · 23m ago · gemma4:e4b · 3322t in / 776t out · 126.7s

Trend vs last week

Accepted tokens are down 4.4M (-100.0%) vs last week.
Unsettled tokens are up 9.3M (413.6%) vs last week.
Waste tokens are up 597K (39.6%) vs last week.

What worked

No projects show any accepted active tokens for the window.

What wasted tokens

The <home> project shows 0.0 acceptance ratio, with an acceptance note of "UNMEASURABLE — ran outside any git repo, so 0.0 is the meter failing to see the work, not a judgement on it," and a waste volume of 2.1M.
The las project shows 0.0 acceptance ratio, and its waste is 0.0.
The pal project shows 0.0 acceptance ratio, and its waste is 0.0.

Why the big number is big

No agent fan-out this window.

What needs a verdict

las + 4b15a997 + 2026-09-08 + las/.worktrees/mvp + 4.0M: suggested_verdict is "review" because "PR open — work in flight".
las + 4b15a997 + 2026-09-11 + las/.worktrees/mvp + 3.0M: suggested_verdict is "review" because "PR open — work in flight".
las + 4b15a997 + 2026-09-09 + las/.worktrees/mvp + 2.7M: suggested_verdict is "review" because "PR open — work in flight".
pal + 01a07347 + 2026-09-08 + pal + 872K: suggested_verdict is "review" because "open_loop, 872K burn — worth looking".
pal + 01a07347 + 2026-09-11 + pal + 448K: suggested_verdict is "not_useful" because "open_loop, 448K burn — small miss".
pal + 01a0925e + 2026-09-11 + pal + 165K: suggested_verdict is "not_useful" because "open_loop, 165K burn — small miss".
pal + 01a0925f + 2026-09-11 + pal + 151K: suggested_verdict is "not_useful" because "open_loop, 151K burn — small miss".
pal + 01a07ec0 + 2026-09-08 + pal + 106K: suggested_verdict is "not_useful" because "open_loop, 106K burn — small miss".

One contrarian observation

The <home> project has a waste volume of 2.1M, but this is unmeasurable because of its acceptance note: "UNMEASURABLE — ran outside any git repo, so 0.0 is the meter failing to see the work, not a judgement on it".

---

Measurability caveat (generated, not model-authored): <home> (2.1M) ran outside any git repo. There is no diff to credit, so a 0.0 acceptance ratio there is the meter failing to see the work — not a judgement on it. Only ratios on measurable: true projects are verdicts.

Rollups — acceptance lane

Headline is accepted tokens (active lane, manual label wins over git auto-classification). Unsettled = committed-not-merged + open-loop. "Active" excludes cache replay; "spend" includes it.

Last 7 days

0 accepted

unsettled 11.5M · acceptance 0%

spend 201.8M · 164 sessions · Claude Code 11.8M / Codex 1.9M

Last 30 days

4.4M accepted

unsettled 70.3M · acceptance 6%

spend 1.83B · 749 sessions · Claude Code 50.1M / Codex 28.3M

Last 90 days

4.4M accepted

unsettled 156.2M · acceptance 3%

spend 4.37B · 858 sessions · Codex 92.5M / Claude Code 71.8M

Daily heatmap — last 60 days

Each cell = one UTC day, color intensity = log10(active tokens). Hover for date + counts.

LessMore· log-scale, exact lane

Top 10 days

Date	Active	Spend	Sessions	Top project	Outcomes
2026-07-28	29.1M	1.09B	22	<home> (29.1M)	?=22
2026-08-18	22.3M	554.5M	38	<home> (21.6M)	?=43
2026-07-16	15.7M	522.1M	23	<home> (15.7M)	?=23
2026-08-06	11.1M	362.9M	27	<home> (11.1M)	?=27
2026-08-12	7.7M	116.0M	1	dreamweaver (6.5M)	?=3
2026-08-31	5.9M	144.8M	26	las (5.8M)	?=29
2026-08-19	5.6M	205.7M	27	pal (2.3M)	?=36
2026-09-08	5.1M	47.8M	28	las (4.0M)	no_repo=24 · open_loop=3 · committed=1 · PRs #21
2026-08-29	4.5M	158.4M	30	las (1.7M)	?=31
2026-08-30	4.2M	72.4M	25	las (4.2M)	?=25

By project — last 7 days

Project	Active
las	9.7M
<home>	2.1M
pal	1.9M

By outcome — last 7 days

committed 3 #21 (OPEN)

open_loop 8

no_repo 156

Effectiveness — last 30 days

Where delegated work shipped (top) vs. where high burn never crossed an acceptance line (bottom). Bars: accepted · unsettled · waste. Normalized to the widest project in window.

Leverage — most accepted

Project	Accepted	Ratio
las	3.3M	12%
memory	1.1M	64%
pal	0	0%
mainstay-av	0	0%
pal/templari	0	0%
Downloads	0	0%

Waste candidates — lowest acceptance ratio (≥100K active)

Project	Accepted	Ratio
<home>	0	0%
pal	0	0%
mainstay-av	0	0%
pal/dashboards	0	0%
pal/templari	0	0%
las	3.3M	12%

Needs validation — last 14 days (21 unsettled)

Sessions where auto-classification couldn't tell shipped work from waste. Highest-burn first. Manually label these with `label: "used"|"partial"|"redo"|"review"|"not_useful"` in token_burn.jsonl to override the auto verdict.

Date	Project	Session	Active	Auto	cwd
2026-09-08	las	4b15a997	4.0M	committed · #21 (OPEN)	.../las/.worktrees/mvp
2026-09-11	las	4b15a997	3.0M	committed · #21 (OPEN)	.../las/.worktrees/mvp
2026-09-09	las	4b15a997	2.7M	committed · #21 (OPEN)	.../las/.worktrees/mvp
2026-09-06	las	4b15a997	913K	committed · #21 (OPEN)	.../las/.worktrees/mvp
2026-09-08	pal	01a07347	872K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-09-05	las	4b15a997	645K	open_loop	.../las/.worktrees/mvp
2026-09-11	pal	01a07347	448K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-09-07	pal	01a07a8f	192K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-09-07	pal	01a07347	191K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-09-11	pal	01a0925e	165K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-09-03	las	4b15a997	165K	open_loop	.../las/.worktrees/mvp
2026-09-11	pal	01a0925f	151K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-09-08	pal	01a07ec0	106K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-09-08	pal	01a07fb1	93K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-09-05	pal	01a07347	57K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-09-04	mainstay-av	d33e7f08	30K	open_loop	.../mainstay-av
2026-09-01	pal	5af22ad7	24K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-09-04	pal	d33e7f08	17K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-09-11	pal	01a0925e	17K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-09-11	pal	01a0888c	17K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-09-05	pal	01a0728d	13K	open_loop	.../pal

Recent events — last 30 rows

Latest enriched rows from the JSONL (sorted by date desc, active desc as tiebreaker). M = manually labeled.

Date	Tool	Project	Session	Active	Output	Outcome
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	87040a53	36K	1K	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	f0eb22b3	35K	604	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	b34f50cd	31K	730	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	21a6a90b	31K	666	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	0c186f48	31K	550	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	a02f1730	31K	534	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	b586aeab	31K	494	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	3cc3b699	30K	906	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	086a912a	30K	748	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	1f14e50a	30K	736	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	0e75e0d5	30K	666	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	6a7bfc8a	30K	656	no_repo
2026-09-13	CC	<home>	fa95930f	35K	834	no_repo
2026-09-13	CC	<home>	ff03a135	34K	1K	no_repo
2026-09-13	CC	<home>	41ac7d6c	34K	786	no_repo
2026-09-13	CC	<home>	c27b36b6	34K	720	no_repo
2026-09-13	CC	<home>	54167fd2	34K	646	no_repo
2026-09-13	CC	<home>	cc59e61b	34K	532	no_repo
2026-09-13	CC	<home>	145203b7	34K	488	no_repo
2026-09-13	CC	<home>	85b11653	32K	1K	no_repo
2026-09-13	CC	<home>	82c24588	32K	956	no_repo
2026-09-13	CC	<home>	a3f4f768	31K	870	no_repo
2026-09-13	CC	<home>	dcc2b4f4	31K	814	no_repo
2026-09-13	CC	<home>	3bb5cd43	31K	540	no_repo
2026-09-13	CC	<home>	e661d316	31K	514	no_repo
2026-09-13	CC	<home>	0ec1b151	31K	670	no_repo
2026-09-13	CC	<home>	a3cd804c	31K	1K	no_repo
2026-09-13	CC	<home>	62b87306	30K	798	no_repo
2026-09-13	CC	<home>	96668856	30K	768	no_repo
2026-09-13	CC	<home>	09086dee	30K	764	no_repo

Generated 2026-09-14 12:55 UTC from ~/ideas/pal/dashboards/token_burn.jsonl (965 rows). Sources: ~/.codex/sessions/ (exact), ~/.claude/projects/-home-khoward/ (exact). No estimate lane currently active.