Token Burn

Burn is not proof. Output is not victory. Accepted work that repeats is leverage.

today · in flight
463K active
13 sessions · spend 819K · Claude Code 463K
by project: <home> 463K
top session 04074bb0 (<home>, 36K, —)
2026-09-20
as of 2026-09-20T13:00:06Z
Stupid button · 28m ago · gemma4:e4b · 2135t in / 327t out · 46.9s

Trend vs last week

What worked

What wasted tokens

Why the big number is big

No agent fan-out this window.

What needs a verdict

One contrarian observation

The <home> directory accounts for the entire 5.4M waste total, despite its acceptance ratio being 0.0 due to it being unmeasurable.

---

Measurability caveat (generated, not model-authored): <home> (5.4M) ran outside any git repo. There is no diff to credit, so a 0.0 acceptance ratio there is the meter failing to see the work — not a judgement on it. Only ratios on measurable: true projects are verdicts.

Rollups — acceptance lane

Headline is accepted tokens (active lane, manual label wins over git auto-classification). Unsettled = committed-not-merged + open-loop. "Active" excludes cache replay; "spend" includes it.

Last 7 days
0 accepted
unsettled 1.6M · acceptance 0%
spend 30.5M · 156 sessions · Claude Code 7.0M
Last 30 days
0 accepted
unsettled 41.6M · acceptance 0%
spend 917.2M · 731 sessions · Claude Code 44.0M / Codex 4.6M
Last 90 days
0 accepted
unsettled 135.2M · acceptance 0%
spend 3.77B · 842 sessions · Codex 92.3M / Claude Code 50.0M

Daily heatmap — last 60 days

Each cell = one UTC day, color intensity = log10(active tokens). Hover for date + counts.

LessMore· log-scale, exact lane
29.1M on 07-28

Top 10 days

DateActiveSpend SessionsTop projectOutcomes
2026-07-2829.1M1.09B22<home> (29.1M)?=22
2026-08-1821.2M527.5M12<home> (21.0M)?=14
2026-07-1615.7M522.1M23<home> (15.7M)?=23
2026-08-0611.1M362.9M27<home> (11.1M)?=27
2026-08-315.9M144.8M26las (5.8M)?=29
2026-09-085.1M47.8M28las (4.0M)no_repo=24 · open_loop=3 · committed=1 · PRs #21
2026-08-294.5M158.4M30las (1.7M)?=31
2026-08-304.2M72.4M25las (4.2M)?=25
2026-09-044.1M90.1M29las (2.3M)?=33
2026-09-113.9M69.9M30las (3.0M)no_repo=24 · open_loop=5 · committed=1 · PRs #21

By project — last 7 days

ProjectActive 
<home>5.4M
las1.6M

By outcome — last 7 days

committed 1 #21 (OPEN)
no_repo 155

Effectiveness — last 30 days

Where delegated work shipped (top) vs. where high burn never crossed an acceptance line (bottom). Bars: accepted · unsettled · waste. Normalized to the widest project in window.

Leverage — most accepted

ProjectAcceptedRatioMix
las00%
pal00%
memory00%
mainstay-av00%
pal/templari00%
Downloads00%

Waste candidates — lowest acceptance ratio (≥100K active)

ProjectAcceptedRatioMix
las00%
mainstay-av00%
<home>00%
pal00%
memory00%

Needs validation — last 14 days (14 unsettled)

Sessions where auto-classification couldn't tell shipped work from waste. Highest-burn first. Manually label these with `label: "used"|"partial"|"redo"|"review"|"not_useful"` in token_burn.jsonl to override the auto verdict.

DateProjectSessionActiveAutocwd
2026-09-08las4b15a9974.0Mcommitted · #21 (OPEN).../las/.worktrees/mvp
2026-09-11las4b15a9973.0Mcommitted · #21 (OPEN).../las/.worktrees/mvp
2026-09-09las4b15a9972.7Mcommitted · #21 (OPEN).../las/.worktrees/mvp
2026-09-16las4b15a9971.6Mcommitted · #21 (OPEN).../las/.worktrees/mvp
2026-09-08pal01a07347872Kopen_loop.../pal
2026-09-11pal01a07347448Kopen_loop.../pal
2026-09-07pal01a07a8f192Kopen_loop.../pal
2026-09-07pal01a07347191Kopen_loop.../pal
2026-09-11pal01a0925e165Kopen_loop.../pal
2026-09-11pal01a0925f151Kopen_loop.../pal
2026-09-08pal01a07ec0106Kopen_loop.../pal
2026-09-08pal01a07fb193Kopen_loop.../pal
2026-09-11pal01a0925e17Kopen_loop.../pal
2026-09-11pal01a0888c17Kopen_loop.../pal

Recent events — last 30 rows

Latest enriched rows from the JSONL (sorted by date desc, active desc as tiebreaker). M = manually labeled.

DateToolProjectSessionActiveOutputOutcome
2026-09-20CC<home>04074bb036K1Kno_repo
2026-09-20CC<home>9316b67336K1Kno_repo
2026-09-20CC<home>7cbdadbb36K1Kno_repo
2026-09-20CC<home>9750f03e36K844no_repo
2026-09-20CC<home>366f7a3736K756no_repo
2026-09-20CC<home>8528dab436K710no_repo
2026-09-20CC<home>035d680336K710no_repo
2026-09-20CC<home>0624b92d36K708no_repo
2026-09-20CC<home>fbaf8e1d36K646no_repo
2026-09-20CC<home>5f3d312835K574no_repo
2026-09-20CC<home>4145dde135K444no_repo
2026-09-20CC<home>6bda02e035K676no_repo
2026-09-19CC<home>95b0827836K928no_repo
2026-09-19CC<home>3319f73536K912no_repo
2026-09-19CC<home>dc2bb31a36K876no_repo
2026-09-19CC<home>db5d4e7936K858no_repo
2026-09-19CC<home>b787703536K848no_repo
2026-09-19CC<home>587f50da36K814no_repo
2026-09-19CC<home>fafb0a8a36K776no_repo
2026-09-19CC<home>eaedadad36K778no_repo
2026-09-19CC<home>d607cc1936K766no_repo
2026-09-19CC<home>ab2f361b36K760no_repo
2026-09-19CC<home>90ae511936K750no_repo
2026-09-19CC<home>0621df6736K724no_repo
2026-09-19CC<home>f335f7b536K710no_repo
2026-09-19CC<home>2e58024036K696no_repo
2026-09-19CC<home>243332e336K682no_repo
2026-09-19CC<home>f07c510c36K654no_repo
2026-09-19CC<home>7e8b585935K642no_repo
2026-09-19CC<home>8aa0200735K636no_repo

Generated 2026-09-20 13:00 UTC from ~/ideas/pal/dashboards/token_burn.jsonl (916 rows). Sources: ~/.codex/sessions/ (exact), ~/.claude/projects/-home-khoward/ (exact). No estimate lane currently active.