Token Burn

Burn is not proof. Output is not victory. Accepted work that repeats is leverage.

today · in flight

0 active

13 sessions · spend 0 · Claude Code 0
by project: <home> 0
top session 2d3282eb (<home>, 0, —)

2026-08-27
as of 2026-08-27T12:55:28Z

Stupid button · 25m ago · gemma4:e4b · 3482t in / 807t out · 58.9s

Trend vs last week

Accepted is DOWN 8.7M (-100.0%) vs last week (8.6M → 0).
Unsettled is UP 2.3M (73.1%) vs last week (3.2M → 5.5M).
Waste is DOWN 26.4M (-96.7%) vs last week (27.3M → 909K).

What worked

No projects show any accepted token burn this window.

What wasted tokens

mainstay-av: 0.0 ratio.
las: 0.0 ratio.
pal: 0.0 ratio.
<home>: 0.0 ratio. This is unmeasurable — ran outside any git repo, so 0.0 is the meter failing to see the work, not a judgement on it.

Why the big number is big

No agent fan-out this window.

What needs a verdict

mainstay-av + 5af22ad7 + 2026-08-24 + mainstay-av/docs/entity + 1.8M — verdict: review. Reason: open_loop, 1.8M burn — worth looking.
mainstay-av + 5af22ad7 + 2026-08-22 + mainstay-av/docs/entity + 1.8M — verdict: review. Reason: open_loop, 1.8M burn — worth looking.
pal + 5af22ad7 + 2026-08-21 + pal + 1.4M — verdict: review. Reason: open_loop, 1.4M burn — worth looking.
mainstay-av + 5af22ad7 + 2026-08-21 + mainstay-av/docs/entity + 233K — verdict: not_useful. Reason: open_loop, 233K burn — small miss.
las + d33e7f08 + 2026-08-24 + las + 146K — verdict: not_useful. Reason: open_loop, 146K burn — small miss.
pal + d33e7f08 + 2026-08-23 + pal + 68K — verdict: not_useful. Reason: open_loop, 68K burn — small miss.
mainstay-av + d33e7f08 + 2026-08-24 + mainstay-av/apps/worker + 28K — verdict: not_useful. Reason: open_loop, 28K burn — small miss.
pal + d33e7f08 + 2026-08-24 + pal + 27K — verdict: not_useful. Reason: open_loop, 27K burn — small miss.

One contrarian observation

The <home> project shows waste_active_h of 826K, but its acceptance_ratio is 0.0 because it is unmeasurable.

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Measurability caveat (generated, not model-authored): <home> (826K) ran outside any git repo. There is no diff to credit, so a 0.0 acceptance ratio there is the meter failing to see the work — not a judgement on it. Only ratios on measurable: true projects are verdicts.

Rollups — acceptance lane

Headline is accepted tokens (active lane, manual label wins over git auto-classification). Unsettled = committed-not-merged + open-loop. "Active" excludes cache replay; "spend" includes it.

Last 7 days

0 accepted

unsettled 5.5M · acceptance 0%

spend 128.8M · 159 sessions · Claude Code 6.4M / Codex 0

Last 30 days

8.7M accepted

unsettled 140.8M · acceptance 5%

spend 7.28B · 664 sessions · Claude Code 141.6M / Codex 36.1M

Last 90 days

8.7M accepted

unsettled 285.7M · acceptance 3%

spend 11.81B · 797 sessions · Claude Code 210.3M / Codex 112.4M

Daily heatmap — last 60 days

Each cell = one UTC day, color intensity = log10(active tokens). Hover for date + counts.

LessMore· log-scale, exact lane

Top 10 days

Date	Active	Spend	Sessions	Top project	Outcomes
2026-07-28	34.5M	1.78B	42	<home> (29.6M)	?=45
2026-08-01	24.5M	1.57B	10	payday (6.1M)	?=20
2026-07-16	23.3M	797.0M	24	<home> (16.3M)	?=27
2026-07-31	23.1M	2.10B	9	payday (8.1M)	?=34
2026-08-18	22.3M	554.5M	38	<home> (21.6M)	no_repo=38 · accepted=5 · PRs #27
2026-07-30	19.4M	645.3M	26	payday (16.5M)	?=31
2026-07-21	18.3M	337.5M	2	<home> (9.1M)	?=4
2026-08-06	16.5M	592.1M	51	<home> (12.0M)	?=58
2026-07-29	11.2M	118.2M	25	payday (10.8M)	?=27
2026-07-24	10.3M	401.9M	2	las (5.9M)	?=4

By project — last 7 days

Project	Active
mainstay-av	3.8M
pal	1.5M
<home>	826K
las	146K
Downloads	83K
templari	27K
memory	23K
pal/memory	14K
pal/templari	11K
ideas	2K

By outcome — last 7 days

open_loop 13

no_repo 160

Effectiveness — last 30 days

Where delegated work shipped (top) vs. where high burn never crossed an acceptance line (bottom). Bars: accepted · unsettled · waste. Normalized to the widest project in window.

Leverage — most accepted

Project	Accepted	Ratio
pal	4.6M	51%
pal/dashboards	1.7M	100%
las	1.4M	59%
memory	606K	39%
pal/templari	427K	98%
mainstay-av	0	0%

Waste candidates — lowest acceptance ratio (≥100K active)

Project	Accepted	Ratio	Mix
payday	0	0%
dreamweaver	0	0%
<home>	0	0%
panacea-ai	0	0%
mainstay-av	0	0%
pal/placeholders	0	0%

Needs validation — last 14 days (20 unsettled)

Sessions where auto-classification couldn't tell shipped work from waste. Highest-burn first. Manually label these with `label: "used"|"partial"|"redo"|"review"|"not_useful"` in token_burn.jsonl to override the auto verdict.

Date	Project	Session	Active	Auto	cwd
2026-08-14	dreamweaver	d476d902	2.2M	open_loop	.../dreamweaver/.worktrees/deploy-main
2026-08-24	mainstay-av	5af22ad7	1.8M	open_loop	.../mainstay-av/docs/entity
2026-08-22	mainstay-av	5af22ad7	1.8M	open_loop	.../mainstay-av/docs/entity
2026-08-21	pal	5af22ad7	1.4M	open_loop	.../pal
2026-08-20	pal	5af22ad7	476K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-08-17	pal	83ba2858	388K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-08-21	mainstay-av	5af22ad7	233K	open_loop	.../mainstay-av/docs/entity
2026-08-24	las	d33e7f08	146K	open_loop	.../las
2026-08-23	pal	d33e7f08	68K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-08-16	panacea-ai	83ba2858	53K	open_loop	.../panacea-ai
2026-08-16	dreamweaver	83ba2858	41K	open_loop	.../dreamweaver
2026-08-24	mainstay-av	d33e7f08	28K	open_loop	.../mainstay-av/apps/worker
2026-08-24	pal	d33e7f08	27K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-08-24	templari	d33e7f08	27K	open_loop	.../templari
2026-08-19	dreamweaver	5af22ad7	25K	open_loop	.../dreamweaver
2026-08-23	memory	d33e7f08	23K	open_loop	/home/khoward/.claude/projects/-home-khoward/memory
2026-08-23	pal/memory	d33e7f08	14K	open_loop	.../pal/memory
2026-08-23	pal/templari	d33e7f08	11K	open_loop	.../pal/templari
2026-08-15	memory	83ba2858	6K	open_loop	/home/khoward/.claude/projects/-home-khoward/memory
2026-08-23	ideas	d33e7f08	2K	open_loop	/home/khoward/ideas

Recent events — last 30 rows

Latest enriched rows from the JSONL (sorted by date desc, active desc as tiebreaker). M = manually labeled.

Date	Tool	Project	Session	Outcome
2026-08-27	CC	<home>	2d3282eb	no_repo
2026-08-27	CC	<home>	51fcbda2	no_repo
2026-08-27	CC	<home>	5e678fc8	no_repo
2026-08-27	CC	<home>	92b7c989	no_repo
2026-08-27	CC	<home>	943bf530	no_repo
2026-08-27	CC	<home>	9e1cfe98	no_repo
2026-08-27	CC	<home>	b68658fb	no_repo
2026-08-27	CC	<home>	c676dede	no_repo
2026-08-27	CC	<home>	d0ba7664	no_repo
2026-08-27	CC	<home>	d44698e1	no_repo
2026-08-27	CC	<home>	ead7b3cf	no_repo
2026-08-27	CC	<home>	eb3b1413	no_repo
2026-08-26	CC	<home>	08246691	no_repo
2026-08-26	CC	<home>	0fe8ff41	no_repo
2026-08-26	CC	<home>	16bab4e3	no_repo
2026-08-26	CC	<home>	25c1b0f6	no_repo
2026-08-26	CC	<home>	3be81b30	no_repo
2026-08-26	CC	<home>	58c4231d	no_repo
2026-08-26	CC	<home>	5baeb3a0	no_repo
2026-08-26	CC	<home>	633924b6	no_repo
2026-08-26	CC	<home>	740443b9	no_repo
2026-08-26	CC	<home>	86264d7f	no_repo
2026-08-26	CC	<home>	9945d59f	no_repo
2026-08-26	CC	<home>	99d69b92	no_repo
2026-08-26	CC	<home>	a981f8fc	no_repo
2026-08-26	CC	<home>	abaa9d12	no_repo
2026-08-26	CC	<home>	b3c67f7d	no_repo
2026-08-26	CC	<home>	c80c62fc	no_repo
2026-08-26	CC	<home>	cf81d2ff	no_repo
2026-08-26	CC	<home>	d326b96c	no_repo

Generated 2026-08-27 12:55 UTC from ~/ideas/pal/dashboards/token_burn.jsonl (986 rows). Sources: ~/.codex/sessions/ (exact), ~/.claude/projects/-home-khoward/ (exact). No estimate lane currently active.