Token Burn

Burn is not proof. Output is not victory. Accepted work that repeats is leverage.

today · in flight
4.4M active
15 sessions · spend 196.0M · Claude Code 4.4M
by project: pal/dashboards 1.6M · pal 1.4M · las 1.1M
top session 5af22ad7 (pal/dashboards, 1.6M, —)
2026-08-19
as of 2026-08-19T13:00:16Z
Stupid button · 29m ago · gemma4:e4b · 4107t in / 909t out · 39.1s

Trend vs last week

What worked

What wasted tokens

Why the big number is big

A subagent spawn forks its parent, so the child starts holding the parent's whole transcript and the same conversation is charged once per fork, on every turn. The root 019fee2e-1781 spawned 13 threads and 12 forks, reaching a max depth of 2, costing 579.6M, with a replay_pct of 95.7% and an output_h of 1.8M. The agents involved were Averroes, Copernicus, Faraday, Galileo, Halley, and Hooke.

What needs a verdict

One contrarian observation

The <home> directory shows 26.4M in waste_active_h, yet the acceptance_ratio is 0.0 because the note states this work is unmeasurable.

---

Measurability caveat (generated, not model-authored): <home> (26.4M), tmp (867K) ran outside any git repo. There is no diff to credit, so a 0.0 acceptance ratio there is the meter failing to see the work — not a judgement on it. Only ratios on measurable: true projects are verdicts.

Rollups — acceptance lane

Headline is accepted tokens (active lane, manual label wins over git auto-classification). Unsettled = committed-not-merged + open-loop. "Active" excludes cache replay; "spend" includes it.

Last 7 days
6.4M accepted
unsettled 3.8M · acceptance 17%
spend 953.5M · 174 sessions · Codex 23.6M / Claude Code 13.9M
Last 30 days
16.4M accepted
unsettled 189.3M · acceptance 6%
spend 10.19B · 686 sessions · Claude Code 188.2M / Codex 65.2M
Last 90 days
16.4M accepted
unsettled 273.4M · acceptance 5%
spend 12.00B · 818 sessions · Claude Code 219.8M / Codex 117.7M

Daily heatmap — last 60 days

Each cell = one UTC day, color intensity = log10(active tokens). Hover for date + counts.

LessMore· log-scale, exact lane
34.5M on 07-28

Top 10 days

DateActiveSpend SessionsTop projectOutcomes
2026-07-2834.5M1.78B47<home> (29.6M)?=50
2026-08-0124.5M1.57B10payday (6.1M)?=20
2026-07-1623.3M797.0M24<home> (16.3M)?=27
2026-07-3123.1M2.10B9payday (8.1M)?=34
2026-08-1822.3M554.5M38<home> (21.6M)no_repo=38 · accepted=5 · PRs #27
2026-07-2121.5M437.6M27<home> (10.6M)?=32
2026-07-3019.4M645.3M26payday (16.5M)?=31
2026-08-0616.5M592.1M51<home> (12.0M)no_repo=51 · accepted=7 · PRs #522
2026-07-2911.2M118.2M25payday (10.8M)?=27
2026-07-2410.8M403.2M26las (5.9M)?=28

By project — last 7 days

ProjectActive 
<home>26.4M
pal4.1M
dreamweaver2.3M
pal/dashboards1.7M
las1.1M
tmp867K
memory612K
pal/templari427K
.claude60K
panacea-ai53K
hooks25K
1818K

By outcome — last 7 days

accepted 13 #27 (MERGED), #26 (MERGED)
open_loop 7
no_repo 185

Effectiveness — last 30 days

Where delegated work shipped (top) vs. where high burn never crossed an acceptance line (bottom). Bars: accepted · unsettled · waste. Normalized to the widest project in window.

Leverage — most accepted

ProjectAcceptedRatioMix
dreamweaver8.3M24%
pal4.4M71%
pal/dashboards1.7M100%
memory1.5M54%
pal/templari427K100%
wt-cifix60K100%

Waste candidates — lowest acceptance ratio (≥100K active)

ProjectAcceptedRatioMix
<home>00%
payday00%
panacea-ai00%
las00%
wasatch-valley-fence00%
pal/placeholders00%

Needs validation — last 14 days (14 unsettled)

Sessions where auto-classification couldn't tell shipped work from waste. Highest-burn first. Manually label these with `label: "used"|"partial"|"redo"|"review"|"not_useful"` in token_burn.jsonl to override the auto verdict.

DateProjectSessionActiveAutocwd
2026-08-12dreamweaverd476d9026.5Mopen_loop.../dreamweaver/.worktrees/deploy-main
2026-08-09dreamweaverd476d9023.4Mopen_loop.../dreamweaver
2026-08-14dreamweaverd476d9022.2Mopen_loop.../dreamweaver/.worktrees/deploy-main
2026-08-10pal/placeholdersd476d9021.8Mopen_loop.../pal/placeholders
2026-08-10dreamweaverd476d9021.6Mopen_loop.../dreamweaver
2026-08-12pal/placeholdersd476d9021.2Mopen_loop.../pal/placeholders
2026-08-19las156eb19a1.1Mopen_loop.../las/.worktrees/mvp
2026-08-17pal83ba2858388Kopen_loop.../pal
2026-08-07command-center6eb17f09150Kopen_loop.../command-center
2026-08-07server6eb17f0972Kopen_loop/home/khoward/src/OB1/server
2026-08-16panacea-ai83ba285853Kopen_loop.../panacea-ai
2026-08-16dreamweaver83ba285841Kopen_loop.../dreamweaver
2026-08-19dreamweaver5af22ad725Kopen_loop.../dreamweaver
2026-08-15memory83ba28586Kopen_loop/home/khoward/.claude/projects/-home-khoward/memory

Recent events — last 30 rows

Latest enriched rows from the JSONL (sorted by date desc, active desc as tiebreaker). M = manually labeled.

DateToolProjectSessionActiveOutputOutcome
2026-08-19CCpal/dashboards5af22ad71.6M111Kaccepted
2026-08-19CCpal5af22ad71.3M242Kaccepted
2026-08-19CClas156eb19a1.1M76Kopen_loop
2026-08-19CCpal/templari156eb19a134K64Kaccepted
2026-08-19CC<home>5af22ad782K34Kno_repo
2026-08-19CCmemory5af22ad764K25Kaccepted
2026-08-19CC.claude5af22ad760K32Kno_repo
2026-08-19CCpal156eb19a52K23Kaccepted
2026-08-19CChooks5af22ad725K10Kno_repo
2026-08-19CCdreamweaver5af22ad725K11Kopen_loop
2026-08-19CC185af22ad714K8Kno_repo
2026-08-19Codex<home>01a0172e00no_repo
2026-08-19CC<home>1ebc93f600no_repo
2026-08-19CC<home>292b89f100no_repo
2026-08-19CC<home>3108df6000no_repo
2026-08-19CC<home>6929dadb00no_repo
2026-08-19CC<home>73ceb41500no_repo
2026-08-19CC<home>87582ba700no_repo
2026-08-19CC<home>88a4b4ae00no_repo
2026-08-19CC<home>8f5f923800no_repo
2026-08-19CC<home>93026bac00no_repo
2026-08-19CC<home>a52a374e00no_repo
2026-08-19CC<home>c95c928800no_repo
2026-08-19CC<home>f5967ad500no_repo
2026-08-18Codex<home>01a013da2.9M201Kno_repo
2026-08-18Codex<home>01a013da2.6M205Kno_repo
2026-08-18Codex<home>01a013da2.5M195Kno_repo
2026-08-18Codex<home>01a013e72.1M179Kno_repo
2026-08-18Codex<home>01a013571.9M123Kno_repo
2026-08-18Codex<home>01a013bf1.7M129Kno_repo

Generated 2026-08-19 13:00 UTC from ~/ideas/pal/dashboards/token_burn.jsonl (1002 rows). Sources: ~/.codex/sessions/ (exact), ~/.claude/projects/-home-khoward/ (exact). No estimate lane currently active.