Token Burn

Burn is not proof. Output is not victory. Accepted work that repeats is leverage.

today · in flight

387K active

12 sessions · spend 717K · Claude Code 387K
by project: <home> 387K
top session bcc4ee84 (<home>, 36K, —)

2026-09-15
as of 2026-09-15T13:00:15Z

Stupid button · 30m ago · gemma4:e4b · 3170t in / 717t out · 38.8s

Trend vs last week

Accepted tokens are down by 3.4M (-100.0%) vs last week.
Unsettled tokens are down by 791K (-10.9%) vs last week.
Waste tokens are up by 1.9M (184.8%) vs last week.

What worked

No projects show any accepted active token burn this week (0 accepted_active_h).

What wasted tokens

The <home> project has a 0.0 acceptance_ratio; this is unmeasurable — ran outside any git repo, so 0.0 is the meter failing to see the work, not a judgement on it.
The <home> project shows the largest waste volume at 2.9M (waste_active_h).
The las project has a 0.0 acceptance_ratio.
The pal project has a 0.0 acceptance_ratio.

Why the big number is big

No agent fan-out this window.

What needs a verdict

las + 4b15a997 + 2026-09-11 + las/.worktrees/mvp + 3.0M: suggested_verdict is review (PR open — work in flight).
las + 4b15a997 + 2026-09-09 + las/.worktrees/mvp + 2.7M: suggested_verdict is review (PR open — work in flight).
pal + 01a07347 + 2026-09-11 + pal + 448K: suggested_verdict is not_useful (open_loop, 448K burn — small miss).
pal + 01a0925e + 2026-09-11 + pal + 165K: suggested_verdict is not_useful (open_loop, 165K burn — small miss).
pal + 01a0925f + 2026-09-11 + pal + 151K: suggested_verdict is not_useful (open_loop, 151K burn — small miss).
pal + 01a0925e + 2026-09-11 + pal + 17K: suggested_verdict is not_useful (open_loop, 17K burn — small miss).
pal + 01a0888c + 2026-09-11 + pal + 17K: suggested_verdict is not_useful (open_loop, 17K burn — small miss).

One contrarian observation

The <home> project has the largest waste volume at 2.9M (waste_active_h), yet its acceptance_ratio is 0.0 because it is unmeasurable — ran outside any git repo, so 0.0 is the meter failing to see the work, not a judgement on it.

---

Measurability caveat (generated, not model-authored): <home> (2.9M) ran outside any git repo. There is no diff to credit, so a 0.0 acceptance ratio there is the meter failing to see the work — not a judgement on it. Only ratios on measurable: true projects are verdicts.

Rollups — acceptance lane

Headline is accepted tokens (active lane, manual label wins over git auto-classification). Unsettled = committed-not-merged + open-loop. "Active" excludes cache replay; "spend" includes it.

Last 7 days

0 accepted

unsettled 6.5M · acceptance 0%

spend 155.5M · 162 sessions · Claude Code 8.6M / Codex 799K

Last 30 days

3.4M accepted

unsettled 69.1M · acceptance 4%

spend 1.74B · 749 sessions · Claude Code 48.1M / Codex 28.3M

Last 90 days

3.4M accepted

unsettled 138.1M · acceptance 2%

spend 3.94B · 839 sessions · Codex 92.5M / Claude Code 52.9M

Daily heatmap — last 60 days

Each cell = one UTC day, color intensity = log10(active tokens). Hover for date + counts.

LessMore· log-scale, exact lane

Top 10 days

Date	Active	Spend	Sessions	Top project	Outcomes
2026-07-28	29.1M	1.09B	22	<home> (29.1M)	?=22
2026-08-18	22.3M	554.5M	38	<home> (21.6M)	?=43
2026-07-16	15.7M	522.1M	23	<home> (15.7M)	?=23
2026-08-06	11.1M	362.9M	27	<home> (11.1M)	?=27
2026-08-31	5.9M	144.8M	26	las (5.8M)	?=29
2026-08-19	5.6M	205.7M	27	pal (2.3M)	?=36
2026-09-08	5.1M	47.8M	28	las (4.0M)	no_repo=24 · open_loop=3 · committed=1 · PRs #21
2026-08-29	4.5M	158.4M	30	las (1.7M)	?=31
2026-08-30	4.2M	72.4M	25	las (4.2M)	?=25
2026-09-04	4.1M	90.1M	29	las (2.3M)	no_repo=28 · accepted=3 · open_loop=2 · PRs #17

By project — last 7 days

Project	Active
las	5.7M
<home>	2.9M
pal	799K

By outcome — last 7 days

committed 2 #21 (OPEN)

open_loop 5

no_repo 156

Effectiveness — last 30 days

Where delegated work shipped (top) vs. where high burn never crossed an acceptance line (bottom). Bars: accepted · unsettled · waste. Normalized to the widest project in window.

Leverage — most accepted

Project	Accepted	Ratio
las	2.3M	8%
memory	1.1M	93%
pal	0	0%
mainstay-av	0	0%
pal/templari	0	0%
Downloads	0	0%

Waste candidates — lowest acceptance ratio (≥100K active)

Project	Accepted	Ratio
<home>	0	0%
pal	0	0%
mainstay-av	0	0%
pal/dashboards	0	0%
pal/templari	0	0%
las	2.3M	8%

Needs validation — last 14 days (20 unsettled)

Sessions where auto-classification couldn't tell shipped work from waste. Highest-burn first. Manually label these with `label: "used"|"partial"|"redo"|"review"|"not_useful"` in token_burn.jsonl to override the auto verdict.

Date	Project	Session	Active	Auto	cwd
2026-09-08	las	4b15a997	4.0M	committed · #21 (OPEN)	.../las/.worktrees/mvp
2026-09-11	las	4b15a997	3.0M	committed · #21 (OPEN)	.../las/.worktrees/mvp
2026-09-09	las	4b15a997	2.7M	committed · #21 (OPEN)	.../las/.worktrees/mvp
2026-09-06	las	4b15a997	913K	committed · #21 (OPEN)	.../las/.worktrees/mvp
2026-09-08	pal	01a07347	872K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-09-05	las	4b15a997	645K	open_loop	.../las/.worktrees/mvp
2026-09-11	pal	01a07347	448K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-09-07	pal	01a07a8f	192K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-09-07	pal	01a07347	191K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-09-11	pal	01a0925e	165K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-09-03	las	4b15a997	165K	open_loop	.../las/.worktrees/mvp
2026-09-11	pal	01a0925f	151K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-09-08	pal	01a07ec0	106K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-09-08	pal	01a07fb1	93K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-09-05	pal	01a07347	57K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-09-04	mainstay-av	d33e7f08	30K	open_loop	.../mainstay-av
2026-09-04	pal	d33e7f08	17K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-09-11	pal	01a0925e	17K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-09-11	pal	01a0888c	17K	open_loop	.../pal
2026-09-05	pal	01a0728d	13K	open_loop	.../pal

Recent events — last 30 rows

Latest enriched rows from the JSONL (sorted by date desc, active desc as tiebreaker). M = manually labeled.

Date	Tool	Project	Session	Active	Output	Outcome
2026-09-15	CC	<home>	bcc4ee84	36K	776	no_repo
2026-09-15	CC	<home>	4efe751e	35K	1K	no_repo
2026-09-15	CC	<home>	b3885178	35K	668	no_repo
2026-09-15	CC	<home>	86ef8a85	35K	944	no_repo
2026-09-15	CC	<home>	a47907ac	34K	786	no_repo
2026-09-15	CC	<home>	1fa0e326	34K	608	no_repo
2026-09-15	CC	<home>	fe726623	34K	456	no_repo
2026-09-15	CC	<home>	b587cdad	32K	954	no_repo
2026-09-15	CC	<home>	a3d49b44	30K	684	no_repo
2026-09-15	CC	<home>	ddc445d4	28K	688	no_repo
2026-09-15	CC	<home>	5287705c	28K	674	no_repo
2026-09-15	CC	<home>	2bf881bb	27K	1K	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	87040a53	36K	1K	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	f11b5bf5	35K	972	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	83eefaca	35K	844	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	3995e711	35K	776	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	f0eb22b3	35K	604	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	84a2e5c5	35K	632	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	bd2313ad	34K	570	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	89d4a386	32K	1K	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	89a569de	32K	1K	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	b34f50cd	31K	730	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	21a6a90b	31K	666	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	0c186f48	31K	550	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	a02f1730	31K	534	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	b586aeab	31K	494	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	cc5da689	31K	1K	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	3cc3b699	30K	906	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	baefc192	30K	830	no_repo
2026-09-14	CC	<home>	086a912a	30K	748	no_repo

Generated 2026-09-15 13:00 UTC from ~/ideas/pal/dashboards/token_burn.jsonl (931 rows). Sources: ~/.codex/sessions/ (exact), ~/.claude/projects/-home-khoward/ (exact). No estimate lane currently active.